“The economist”: Boycott damaged DP. EU Negotiations by the end of 2015
18/03/2015 00:00
Minister Balla from Abu Dhabi pledges cooperation between the two countries for extraditions and fight against crime 22/04 21:08
The British agency of research and analyze, the Economist Intelligence
Unit, has published the report for the last four months of the political
and economic situation in Albania. Top Channel has secured a copy of
the report, which makes a prediction regarding the European Integration.
The Economist Intelligence Unit expects Albania to reach a considerable progress in fulfilling the EU conditions by the end of 2015, taking in consideration the determination of the government for the European Integration. The chances of Albania in opening the negotiations with the EU have seen improvement after the Democratic Party ended the five month boycott of the Parliament.
The Economist analyzes the political situation in the camp of the Socialist Party, a few months before the June 21st elections, focusing on the Socialist leader and Prime Minister of Albania, Edi Rama.
“The 2013 election results confirmed that a united centre-let has a solid electoral base, with the SPA-led electoral bloc, the Alliance for a European Albania, wining 57.7% of the popular vote, Mr.Rama will want to build on that support, and, in the longer term, he may wish to attract some of the Socialist Movement for Integration supporters to his side in order to reduce his dependency on Ilir Meta. Rama will continue with the promised social and economic reforms that boosted the SP popularity at the ballot box”.
The Economist makes this prediction for the leadership of Lulzim Basha at the Democratic Party, and what this party can reach in the elections of June 21st.
“Basha will have an uphill task in asserting his ledership over a party that is not used to having a chairman other than Mr.Berisha, and this may make it difficult for the DP to improve its performance in the forthcoming local elections”.
By analyzing the political actions of the opposition in the past four months, the report notes:
“Meanwhile, the center-right opposition Democratic Party has until now proved somewhat ineffectual, making a slow and hesitant recovery from its electoral defeat. The DP has weakened its position by boycotting the Parliament since June, after one of their Parliament Members was hit by another Socialist MP.
The report reaches this conclusion on what the opposition’s protest might achieve.
“The peaceful nature of the opposition’s request support our prediction that the majority will continue to be stable”.
According to the “Economist”, the economy will growth, but with a slower pace than expected.
Experts of the Intelligence Unit at the Economist say that the Albanian government grew with 1.6 % during the past year, visibly under the 2.1% prediction that is evaluated by the IMF.
The British Institution of Researches says that the slow-aced growth is due to the difficult economic situation in Greece and Italy, the two main economic partnrs of Albania, but also due to other effects that come from the internal fiscal consolidation, which hampers the consumption of the government and of private operators.
The Economist had predicted a 1.3% growth for the Albanian economy in 2014, but due to the debts in the third trimester, the national production grew with 3.3%.
Despite the fact that they expect the economy to grow gradually, the British Institute is more restraint than the IMF and the Government with their predictions. They say that the National GDP will increase with 2.7% during this year, while in 2016 it will be 3.3%.
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